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2024-12-13 03:58:26

Hua Fu Securities Interpretation of the Politburo Meeting in December: More incremental policies can be expected in the future. The Hua Fu Securities Research Report pointed out that the Politburo Meeting in December decided to implement more active and promising macro policies in economic work next year, which released major signals to the market, including: First, it proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy, which was also proposed in response to the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic in 2020. Second, it is proposed to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, which is more positive than the previous statement. Moreover, from the historical experience, the "moderately loose" monetary policy implemented in China after the last financial crisis in 2009-2010 has significantly enhanced its support for economic growth. This change in expression will send a clearer and clearer policy signal to the market. Third, it is proposed for the first time to strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment, and more incremental policies can be expected in the future. Fourth, after the policy adjustment, the expansion of domestic demand will be put in the first place, which highlights the importance and policy determination of expanding domestic demand next year. The follow-up consumption promotion policy may exert its efforts in many aspects, such as continuously promoting the trade-in of consumer goods, introducing incremental measures related to service consumption, and improving the support and protection of low-and middle-income people. Fifth, it is clearly proposed to stabilize the property market stock market, which will help to continuously consolidate the momentum of stabilization and recovery of the real estate market and give full play to the important functions of the capital market.Iran: It has established contact with Syrian "opposition forces". According to Reuters's report on December 9, a senior Iranian official told Reuters on September 9 that after Bashar al-Assad, Iran's main ally, was ousted, Iran has established direct communication channels with opposition forces within the new Syrian leadership to prevent a "hostile track" between the two countries. (Xinhua News Agency)The Gansu Provincial Department of Transportation launched a Class IV defense response to low-temperature rain, snow and freezing disasters, and the Lanzhou Central Meteorological Observatory issued a blue warning of blizzard at 10: 34 on December 9: It is expected that there will be heavy snow in Lanzhou, Baiyin, Dingxi, Linxia and other cities and States, as well as northern Gannan, western Tianshui, western Pingliang, western Qingyang, southern Zhangye and southern Wuwei from 15: 00 on the 9 th to 20: 00 on the 10 th; Blizzard will appear in southern Linxia, western Dingxi, southern Lanzhou and central Baiyin. According to the relevant provisions of "Emergency Plan for Highway Traffic Security in Gansu Province" and "Comprehensive Emergency Plan for Transportation in Gansu Province", the Gansu Provincial Department of Transportation decided to start the level IV defense response to the freezing rain, snow and ice disaster of transportation at 20: 00 on December 9.


The Great Wall Fund with "Moderately Loose" Monetary Policy: It is expected to open up space for the downward trend of bond interest rates. the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9. The meeting pointed out that a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented next year. The Great Wall Fund said that based on the "moderate easing" of monetary policy next year, the downside of bond interest rates is expected to be further opened, optimistic about the bond market in the coming year; At the same time, with the coming of the New Year's market, the bond interest rate may further decline in the context of loose liquidity and the entry of insurance funds.The third batch of CSI A 500 ETFs under Rongtong, Puyin AXA and Yongying was approved and will be released soon. Less than two weeks after the report, the third batch of CSI A 500 ETFs got the approval. The reporter learned from the industry that the CSI A500ETF of many fund companies, including Rongtong Fund, Puyin AXA Fund, Yongying Fund, Haifutong Fund and Galaxy Fund, got the approval. Previously, nine fund companies reported the product. So far, more than 50 Public Offering of Fund managers have reported 107 products related to the CSI A500 Index. After excluding the linked funds, 22 CSI A500ETF have been issued and listed, with a current market scale of nearly 220 billion; Twenty-two products in CSI A500 index increase products have been approved for issuance; In addition, nearly 20 CSI A500 index products have been approved.About 40% of South Korea's stock prices hit a new low in the year, and the exchange rate of the won against the US dollar fell for four consecutive trading days. Today is the first trading day after the abolition of the impeachment motion of the South Korean President. Due to political instability, the financial market in South Korea fluctuated violently today. The Korea Composite Stock Index closed at 2360.58 points, down 2.78% from the previous trading day, and closed down for four consecutive trading days. Statistics show that about 40% of the stocks listed on South Korea's main board and Growth Enterprise Market today hit a new low this year. In addition, the exchange rate of the Korean won has also dropped simultaneously today. At the close, the exchange rate of the Korean won against the US dollar was 1,437 won to the US dollar, and the closing price hit the lowest value in more than two years for four consecutive trading days. (CCTV Finance)


Reuters survey: 27 of 31 economists believe that the Swiss National Bank will cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 0.75% in December; Four people think that they will cut interest rates by 50 basis points; Fifteen of the 28 economists believe that the Swiss National Bank will cut the policy interest rate to 0.25% or lower by the end of 2025; 13 people think it will drop to 0.50% or higher.Hisense Group layoffs? Insiders: The year-end adjustment is very small. Recently, a number of people claiming to be Hisense employees posted a message on the online platform saying that "Hisense Group is facing large-scale layoffs, with the number of employees reduced from 110,000 to 80,000, and the number of layoffs is as high as 30,000." Another netizen certified as an employee of Hisense Home Appliances said that "the list will be published next week". In this regard, Sina Technology asked Hisense for verification, and the company did not respond as of press time. However, some insiders of Hisense said, "There is indeed internal adjustment, but it is a small proportion for the normal optimization adjustment at the end of the year." (Sina Technology)Reuters survey: 27 of 31 economists believe that the Swiss National Bank will cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 0.75% in December; Four people think that they will cut interest rates by 50 basis points; Fifteen of the 28 economists believe that the Swiss National Bank will cut the policy interest rate to 0.25% or lower by the end of 2025; 13 people think it will drop to 0.50% or higher.

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